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Will Nigeria’s New Electricity Act Bring Real Change to Power Generation?

Writer's picture: David JenkinsDavid Jenkins


Nigeria’s energy sector stands at a crossroads, balancing untapped potential and ongoing challenges. With a population of over 200 million and rising energy demands, the country’s reliance on an outdated, centralized electricity system has hindered economic growth and limited power access for millions. The passage of Nigeria’s new Electricity Act marks a crucial moment, empowering states to take charge of power generation and distribution. But will this bold move bring the much-needed change? By decentralizing energy projects and encouraging state-level investment, Nigeria can reshape its energy future. States can develop energy strategies that address their unique needs, from renewable energy solutions to modernized grids. Achieving this vision requires more than just policy—it demands a solid framework, investment incentives, and the political will to implement lasting reforms. In this article, we explore why state-level energy projects are essential, assess the potential impact of the Electricity Act, and discuss the necessary steps to turn promises into tangible progress.

 

Challenges of Nigeria’s Centralized Electricity System and the Need for Reform

For decades, Nigeria’s centralized electricity system has struggled with inefficiencies, limiting economic growth and daily life. Despite an installed capacity of 13,000 MW, only 4,000 to 5,000 MW is reliably available, hindered by gas shortages, aging infrastructure, and poor maintenance. Frequent grid collapses—over 200 in nine years and at least 12 this year—highlight the system’s fragility, while transmission inefficiencies result in nearly 8% of generated power being lost. The 2005 Electric Power Sector Reform Act (EPSRA) aimed to address these challenges by privatizing and deregulating the electricity sector. It introduced independent power producers and laid a foundation for reform, but its centralized approach limited states’ ability to address regional needs. Inadequate investments, weak regulatory oversight, and a failure to prioritize renewable energy further undermined its effectiveness. Recognizing these systemic issues, the 2023 Electricity Act focuses on decentralized energy solutions. The Act creates opportunities for local solutions, renewable energy integration, and private-sector investment by empowering states to generate, transmit, and distribute electricity. It seeks to reduce reliance on the overstretched national grid, expand energy access, and drive innovation in mini-grid technologies. With these provisions, the Act aims to improve accountability, increase efficiency, and build a resilient infrastructure that meets Nigeria’s growing energy demands.

 

The Impact of Decentralization on Nigeria’s Power Sector

The decentralization introduced by Nigeria’s Electricity Act offers significant potential to revitalize the power sector. By empowering states to generate, transmit, and distribute electricity, the Act enables localized energy solutions that tap into regional resources, such as solar in the north or hydropower in the south. This approach drives innovation and ensures energy systems are better suited to each state’s specific needs. Decentralization also enhances accountability by placing power provision at the state level, allowing for more responsive governance and improved transparency. It reduces reliance on the overstretched national grid, enabling the development of micro-grids and decentralized systems that improve reliability, particularly in underserved areas. Moreover, the Act paves the way for private investment and public-private partnerships, bringing advanced technologies and expertise to renewable energy projects. These initiatives diversify energy sources, create jobs, and stimulate economic growth. In short, decentralization drives innovation, strengthens reliability, and opens new opportunities for sustainable development. However, decentralization, while promising, also presents significant challenges:

  • Limited Technical Expertise and Resources: Many states lack the technical expertise to design, implement, and manage electricity projects effectively. This gap can lead to poorly executed projects that fail to meet local energy needs or make full use of available technologies. Financial constraints worsen this issue, as states often struggle to invest in critical infrastructure or skilled human resources.

  • Uneven Development across States: A key risk of decentralization is uneven progress. Wealthier states like Lagos and Rivers, with more resources, can advance rapidly, while less affluent states such as Yobe or Sokoto may struggle. This could worsen energy inequality, creating uneven access to electricity across the country.

Despite these challenges, decentralization offers numerous opportunities to improve energy access, efficiency, and innovation. By empowering state governments to manage local energy needs, decentralization encourages more responsive and accountable governance. States like Lagos have already implemented localized energy solutions, showcasing the potential for this approach. The 2023 Electricity Act encourages renewable energy projects, enabling states to harness local resources such as solar, wind, and biomass. This is especially impactful in rural areas, where the national grid is weak. Former President Buhari’s government invested $550 million in solar systems and mini-grids to support this transition. Mini-grids play a vital role in rural electrification, with successful projects in states like Ogun and Ekiti providing power to underserved communities. Additionally, decentralization stimulates competition in the electricity market, improving service quality and reducing prices through distributed generation systems. Reducing reliance on the national grid improves resilience, lessening the impact of nationwide blackouts. This approach, coupled with increased foreign direct investment (FDI), strengthens the sector’s sustainability. As states develop tailored energy policies, Nigeria can attract new investments and achieve a reliable, sustainable electricity supply that meets its diverse needs.


Examples of Decentralized Energy Solutions

India’s state-level electricity reforms offer valuable lessons for Nigeria. By unbundling utilities into separate generation, transmission, and distribution entities, India improved competition, and operational efficiency, and reduced losses. States like Gujarat attracted private investment, particularly in renewable energy, while regulatory frameworks empowered regions to address specific energy challenges. Similarly, targeted rural electrification programs, including solar mini-grids, increased electricity access in remote areas. In Nigeria, Lagos State serves as a promising example of localized energy initiatives, demonstrating how public-private partnerships can expand renewable energy access. Projects like solar panel installations in schools and hospitals have reduced reliance on the national grid and improved access for underserved areas. However, frequent blackouts show that while progress has been made, significant gaps remain. Lagos illustrates both the opportunities and challenges states face in developing sustainable, decentralized power solutions. By applying lessons from India and Lagos, Nigeria can scale up pilot projects under the Electricity Act, such as mini-grids, smart metering, and community solar initiatives. Replicating these models across states will expand energy access, foster local innovation, and strengthen Nigeria’s energy sector.

 

Strategic Recommendations for Advancing Nigeria's Decentralized Power Sector

To unlock the full potential of the 2023 Electricity Act, collaboration among the federal government, states, and the private sector is essential. The federal government must lay the groundwork by establishing a clear regulatory framework to define roles and responsibilities, ensuring seamless coordination. Ambiguities have often delayed progress; a cohesive structure will align efforts across stakeholders. Additionally, the federal government must provide technical and financial support to less-developed states. Training programs, infrastructure grants, and incentives will empower these states to bridge capacity gaps and attract investment. State governments should focus on building local capacity. By up skilling officials, engineers, and technicians, states can design and maintain energy projects effectively. Collaboration with the private sector is equally critical. Public-private partnerships (PPPs) can combine state resources with private innovation to scale renewable solutions like solar mini-grids, particularly for underserved areas. For the private sector, the opportunity lies in investing in off-grid and mini-grid projects, where the national grid remains weak. However, success requires close engagement with local communities to ensure projects address real needs. Community participation fosters trust, ownership, and long-term sustainability, aligning energy solutions with practical priorities. By clarifying responsibilities, equipping states with resources, and encouraging innovation, Nigeria can reshape its energy sector. A united approach will drive reliable, sustainable power access, fueling economic growth and improving lives. With decisive action, Nigeria can turn its energy ambitions into reality.


Conclusion

Decentralizing Nigeria's electricity sector offers a significant opportunity to improve access, efficiency, and sustainability. By drawing from global examples and local initiatives, Nigeria can create a more resilient energy system. The Electricity Act’s pilot projects show promise, but a clear regulatory framework and investment in capacity-building are crucial for success. With collaboration from the government, private sector, and communities, Nigeria can ensure reliable, affordable electricity, fostering growth and innovation for its population.

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